Streamflow Prediction by Applying Generalized Regression Network with Time Series Decomposition Method

Abstract

Precise and correct estimation of streamflow is important for the operative progression in water resources systems. The artificial intelligence approaches; such as artificial neural networks (ANN) have been applied for efficiently tackling the hydrological matters like streamflow forecasting in this study at upper Yangtze River. The objective is to investigate the certainty of monthly streamflow by applying artificial neural networks including Generalized Regression Network (GRNN). To overcome the non-linearity problem of streamflow, artificial neural networks integrated with discrete wavelet transform (DWT). Data has been analyzed by comparing the simulation outputs of the models with the correlation coefficient (R) root mean square errors (RMSE). It is found that the decomposition technique DWT has ability to improve the forecasting results as compare to single applied artificial neural networks. Moreover, all applied models are separately applies on the peak values as well which also have showed that intergrated model has more ability to catch the peak values