Predict glucose values with DE algorithm optimized T-LSTM

Abstract

The prevalence of diabetes is rising. According to the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) predictions, the number of diabetic patients worldwide will reach 608 million in 2030, accounting for approximately 11.3% of the total number of people in the world. To monitor and predict the future 1 hour glucose have a great significance meaning for patients. This research utilizes a differential evolution (DE) algorithm, an optimized hybrid model transformer and long short-term memory (T-LSTM) technologies to analyze historical data from continuous blood glucose monitoring (CGM) systems and equipment calibration values. The aim is to predict future blood sugar levels in patients, thereby helping to prevent episodes of hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia. The study tested the model using the CGM data from 8 patients at the Suzhou Municipal Hospital in Jiangsu Province, China. Results show that this DE-optimized T-LSTM model outperforms traditional models. The model's accuracy is evaluated using mean squared error (MSE), with MSE values recorded at 15, 30, and 45 minutes being 0.96, 1.54, and 2.31, respectively.