Performance analysis of bitcoin forecasting using deep learning techniques

Nrusingha Tripathy, Sarbeswara Hota, Debahuti Mishra

Abstract


The most popular cryptocurrency used worldwide is bitcoin. Many everyday folks and investors are now investing in bitcoin. However, it becomes quite difficult to evaluate or foresee the price of bitcoin. The price of bitcoin is extremely difficult to forecast due to its swings. By this point, machine learning has developed a number of models to examine the price behaviour of bitcoin using time series data. The digital money, a different type of payment developed utilising encryption methods, is difficult to forecast. By utilising encryption technology, cryptocurrencies may act as both a medium of exchange and a virtual accounting system. To estimate the values of a future time sequence, this work introduces a deep learning-based technique for time series forecasting that treats the current data as time series and extracts the key traits of the past. To overcome the shortcomings of conventional production forecasting, three algorithms-auto-regressive integrated moving averages (ARIMA), long-short-term memory (LSTM) network, and FB-prophet-were investigated and contrasted. We compared the models using historical bitcoin data of past eight years, from 2012 to 2020. The “FB-prophet” model, which is significant, catches variation that might draw attention and avert possible problems.

Keywords


Arima; Cryptocurrency; FB-prophet; Financial data analysis; LSTM; Prediction

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DOI: http://doi.org/10.11591/ijeecs.v31.i3.pp1515-1522

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The Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (IJEECS)
p-ISSN: 2502-4752, e-ISSN: 2502-4760
This journal is published by the Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science (IAES) in collaboration with Intelektual Pustaka Media Utama (IPMU).

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